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Sampler

  1 month ago

The Christmas weather forecast is in - are you happy with yours?

The Bureau of Meteorology has released their Christmas weather forecast. With two months still to go, they have admitted that this forecast is "pretty loose" but if it stays as predicted, are you happy with your town's forecast?

SYDNEY
Christmas Day:
Temperature: 17-25 °C
Weather: Cloudy to start with, then sunshine returns
Chance of rain: 25%
Wind: West/South West

BRISBANE
Christmas Day:
Temperature: 23-31 °C
Weather: Mostly sunny
Chance of rain: 2%
Wind: North

MELBOURNE:
Christmas Day:
Temperature: 12-24 °C
Weather: Mostly cloudy with a passing shower
Chance of rain: 55%
Wind: West/North West

DARWIN
Christmas Day:
Temperature: 24-35 °C
Weather: Cloudy and thunderstorms
Chance of rain: 60%
Wind: West/North West

ADELAIDE
Christmas Day:
Temperature: 18-25 °C
Weather: Partly sunny
Chance of rain: 1%
Wind: South West

HOBART
Christmas Day:
Temperature: 12-20 °C
Weather: Periods of clouds and sun
Chance of rain: 25%
Wind: East/South East

CANBERRA
Christmas Day:
Temperature: 9-25 °C
Weather: Mostly sunny
Rain: 0%
Wind: West

PERTH
Christmas Day:
Temperature: 16-27 °C
Weather: Sunny
Rain: 0%
Wind: South West

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I must inform you that Christmas Day is currently speeding around the corner. I guess that's what happens if you spend a good chunk of the year stuck inside your home, hey? Anyway. No matter how you're choosing to spend the Christmas season this year, it's always a good idea to keep an eye on the weather if you're trying to plan.

Christmas Day and Boxing Day have traditionally been bloody hot summer's days in Australia, sometimes with rain to cool it down in the evening. So how does 2021 stack up?

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What's the weather outlook for Christmas Day and Boxing Day?
As you're probably assuming, the details we currently have are pretty loose. We do still have a few weeks to go, after all. But we do have some initial predictions, and an indication of what we can expect from the summer months more generally, which can act as a guide.

Naturally, we'll update this piece as more weather forecasts for Christmas Day, Boxing Day and the rest of the holiday period begin rolling out for 2021. But for the moment, here are the key points to take note of:

The Bureau of Meteorology has shared that from November through to January, the Eastern half of Australia should expect higher than usual rainfall. Western Tasmania, however, will be the exception - seeing below normal rainfall.
The Northern half of Australia and Tasmania should prepare for higher than average maximum temperatures. "Below median daytime temperatures are likely for eastern NSW."
"The El Niño–Southern Oscillation is neutral, with cooling of the tropical Pacific towards La Niña levels likely in the coming months. This may be increasing the chances of above-average rainfall for much of eastern Australia. The Indian Ocean Dipole is expected to return to neutral in November."
So, yeah. The broad outlook is that the coming summer months will be hotter and wetter for a good chunk of Australia. Fingers crossed it doesn't impact your holiday plans too much!

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Christmas Day weather predictions for 2021
AccuWeather has a very early weather forecast across all the major cities for Christmas Day and Boxing Day in 2021. While it can probably be expected these predictions will change, here's what we have so far.

Sydney weather
Christmas Eve:

Temperature: 16-28 °C
Weather: Mostly sunny
Chance of rain: 3%
Wind: North/North West
Christmas Day:

Temperature: 17-25 °C
Weather: Cloudy to start with, then sunshine returns
Chance of rain: 25%
Wind: West/South West
Boxing Day:

Temperature: 21-25 °C
Weather: Sunny
Chance of rain: 0%
Wind: West/South West
Brisbane weather
Christmas Eve:

Temperature: 22-29 °C
Weather: Sunny
Chance of rain: 0%
Wind: South/South East
Christmas Day:

Temperature: 23-31 °C
Weather: Mostly sunny
Chance of rain: 2%
Wind: North
Boxing Day:

Temperature: 23-31 °C
Weather: Mostly sunny.
Chance of rain: 10%
Wind: North
Melbourne weather
Christmas Eve:

Temperature: 13-24 °C
Weather: Periods of rain
Chance of rain: 65%
Wind: North West
Christmas Day:

Temperature: 12-24 °C
Weather: Mostly cloudy with a passing shower
Chance of rain: 55%
Wind: West/North West
Boxing Day:

Temperature: 16-24 °C
Weather: Partial sunshine
Chance of rain: 6%
Wind: West
Darwin weather
Christmas Eve:

Temperature: 24-35 °C
Weather: Thunderstorms
Chance of rain: 61%
Wind: West
Christmas Day:

Temperature: 24-35 °C
Weather: Cloudy and thunderstorms
Chance of rain: 60%
Wind: West/North West
Boxing Day:

Temperature: 25-33 °C
Weather: Showers and thunderstorms in the morning; cloudy
Chance of rain: 67%
Wind: South West
Adelaide weather
Christmas Eve:

Temperature: 11-25 °C
Weather: Sun and areas of low clouds
Chance of rain: 25%
Wind: West/South West
Christmas Day:

Temperature: 18-25 °C
Weather: Partly sunny
Chance of rain: 1%
Wind: South West
Boxing Day:

Temperature: 14-30 °C
Weather: Mostly sunny
Chance of rain: 1%
Wind: East/South East
Hobart weather
Christmas Eve:

Temperature: 11-19 °C
Weather: Cloudy with showers
Chance of rain: 71%
Wind: North East
Christmas Day:

Temperature: 12-20 °C
Weather: Periods of clouds and sun
Chance of rain: 25%
Wind: East/South East
Boxing Day:

Temperature: 12-20 °C
Weather: Cloudy with showers
Chance of rain: 69%
Wind: West
Canberra weather
Christmas Eve:

Temperature: 9-27 °C
Weather: Mostly sunny
Chance of rain: 25%
Wind: West/North West
Christmas Day:

Temperature: 9-25 °C
Weather: Mostly sunny
Rain: 0%
Wind: West
Boxing Day:

Temperature: 16-25 °C
Weather: Mostly sunny
Chance of rain: 0%
Wind: West/North West
Perth weather
Christmas Eve:

Temperature: 15-30 °C
Weather: Sunny
Chance of rain: 0%
Wind: South/South East
Christmas Day:

Temperature: 16-27 °C
Weather: Sunny
Rain: 0%
Wind: South West
Boxing Day:

Temperature: 17-26 °C
Weather: Mostly sunny
Chance of rain: 0%
Wind: South/South West

All-round it looks like Australia should have pretty decent Christmas Day weather, aside from some possible rain for Darwin and Melbourne. As mentioned earlier, however, bear in mind this is the weather and it will probably change in the lead up to the big day. But if it doesn't, are you happy with your forecast?
Reply
Post

ashbaxter9

  25 days ago
Yep happy with Perth’s day Reply
0 comments

KT051

  1 month ago
Thanks for this and yes, happy with the forecast it will hopefully be a lovely one for all. Reply
0 comments

jaysblueaus

  1 month ago
Lately it is unpredictable, been a weird winter and spring, apprently we get snow again in a few days to 800 meters, which is very odd for this time of the year Reply
1 comments

braunhi1

  1 month ago
Thanks Sampler for this. Yes, I am happy with our weather in WA for this year. Not too hot. Just nice! Reply
0 comments

p.gilbert83

  1 month ago
Thank You Sampler this is good for Melbourne after the wettest October in 11 Years Reply
1 comments

achatterjee4

  1 month ago
yes, why not? Reply
0 comments

WoodyP

  1 month ago
Yes 18 - 25 for SA will be fine (if it actually happens), cheers Sampler. Reply
0 comments

rolfie13

  1 month ago
Why do they bother trying to predict that far ahead with any chance of being close when the forecast changes from day to day.
I'd be very happy with the Perth predicted temperature as it was about 39 last year and the new AC had to work overtime.
Reply
0 comments

pagalu

  1 month ago
Normal for us. Reply
0 comments

koorawatha49

  1 month ago
Who cares what weather it is, as long as there are no bushfires. Reply
0 comments

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